AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Apr 23, 2023

Brighton

Home
VS
15:30

Manchester United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Brighton Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Manchester United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.71 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.4
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brighton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Manchester United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Brighton Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Brighton vs Bolton 1-1
Apr 04 Brighton vs Bournemouā€¦ 0-2
Apr 01 Brighton vs Brentford 3-3
Mar 11 Brighton vs Wycombe 2-1
Mar 04 Brighton vs West Brom 4-0
Feb 18 Brighton vs Fulham 0-1
Feb 11 Brighton vs Exeter Ciā€¦ 1-0
Feb 04 Brighton vs Bournemouā€¦ 1-0
Jan 29 Brighton vs Liverpool 2-1
Jan 14 Brighton vs Liverpool 3-0
Manchester United Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Manchesteā€¦ vs Newcastleā€¦ 2-0
Mar 19 Manchesteā€¦ vs Fulham 3-1
Mar 01 Manchesteā€¦ vs West Brom 3-1
Feb 26 Manchesteā€¦ vs Newcastleā€¦ 2-0
Feb 12 Manchesteā€¦ vs Leeds 0-2
Feb 11 Manchesteā€¦ vs Grimsby 0-1
Feb 08 Manchesteā€¦ vs Leeds 2-2
Feb 04 Manchesteā€¦ vs Crystal Pā€¦ 2-1
Jan 22 Manchesteā€¦ vs Arsenal 3-2
Jan 18 Manchesteā€¦ vs Crystal Pā€¦ 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brighton in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Manchester United in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 07, 2022 Manchester United 1 - 2 Brighton Premier League
May 07, 2022 Brighton 4 - 0 Manchester United Premier League
Feb 15, 2022 Manchester United 2 - 0 Brighton Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brighton to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brighton Power 36
Manchester United Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.