AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca - 1 Feb 08, 2026

Bangu

Home
VS
00:00

Boavista

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Bangu Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Boavista Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.22 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bangu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Boavista Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Bangu Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Bangu vs Nova Igua… 1-2
Jan 25 Bangu vs Botafogo 2-0
Jan 21 Bangu vs Maringá 1-2
Jan 17 Bangu vs Madureira… 0-1
Jan 15 Bangu vs Flamengo 2-1
Aug 30 Bangu vs Portugues… 0-0
Aug 27 Bangu vs Portugues… 0-0
Aug 20 Bangu vs Campo Gra… 2-0
Feb 15 Bangu vs Madureira… 0-3
Jan 30 Bangu vs Nova Igua… 1-1
Boavista Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Boavista vs Sampaio C… 1-1
Jan 25 Boavista vs Vasco DA … 0-3
Jan 22 Boavista vs Portugues… 3-2
Jan 17 Boavista vs Fluminense 1-0
Jan 14 Boavista vs Volta Red… 1-0
Mar 10 Boavista vs Sampaio C… 3-0
Mar 07 Boavista vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Feb 22 Boavista vs Volta Red… 2-0
Feb 08 Boavista vs Portugues… 2-2
Feb 03 Boavista vs Fluminense 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bangu in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bangu to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bangu Power 0
Boavista Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Bangu Position

0

Position Gap

3

Boavista Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.