Carioca - 1 · Feb 01, 2026 23:30

Botafogo
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Fluminense
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Botafogo to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Botafogo Form WWWLW
UP
Fluminense Form WWWLW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS39%
Under 2.539%
Botafogo Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Fluminense Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.17
Botafogo
vs
0.53
Fluminense
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Botafogo
0
Gap
#1
Fluminense
WR 60% 9 pts WR 80% 12 pts
Botafogo 16.0%
Jan 30 Botafogo v Cruzeiro 4-0
Jan 25 Botafogo v Bangu 2-0
Jan 21 Botafogo v Volta R… 1-0
Jan 18 Botafogo v Sampaio… 2-1
Jan 15 Botafogo v Portugu… 0-2
Jan 04 Botafogo v Santa C… 3-1
Dec 04 Botafogo v Cruzeiro 2-2
Nov 30 Botafogo v Corinth… 2-2
Nov 23 Botafogo v AvaĆ­ 0-0
Nov 22 Botafogo v Remo 3-2
Fluminense 16.0%
Jan 28 Flumine… v Gremio 2-1
Jan 25 Flumine… v Flamengo 2-1
Jan 23 Flumine… v Nova Ig… 2-3
Jan 17 Flumine… v Boavista 1-0
Jan 14 Flumine… v Madurei… 2-1
Jan 04 Flumine… v AmĆ©rica… 1-1
Dec 14 Flumine… v Vasco D… 1-0
Dec 11 Flumine… v Vasco D… 2-1
Dec 07 Flumine… v Bahia 2-0
Dec 03 Flumine… v Remo 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 28, 2025 Fluminense 2-0 Botafogo
Sep 03, 2025 Botafogo 1-1 Fluminense
Apr 27, 2025 Botafogo 2-0 Fluminense
Feb 09, 2025 Botafogo 4-1 Fluminense
Jan 30, 2025 Botafogo 2-1 Fluminense
Sep 21, 2024 Fluminense 0-1 Botafogo
Jun 11, 2024 Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense
Mar 03, 2024 Fluminense 2-4 Botafogo
Jan 31, 2024 Fluminense 0-0 Botafogo
Oct 08, 2023 Fluminense 0-2 Botafogo
Key Factors
Botafogo in strong form (4W in last 5)
Fluminense in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.