Carioca - 1 · Jan 18, 2026 23:30

Portuguesa RJ
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Maricá
PWR 35
52% H 24% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (21%) 0-0 (20%) 1-1 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (11%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Portuguesa RJ Form LDDWD
STABLE
Maricá Form LD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS28%
Under 2.579%
Portuguesa … Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Maricá Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Portuguesa RJ
vs
1.02
Maricá
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum41%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Portuguesa …
0
Gap
#6
Maricá
WR 20% 5 pts WR 20% 3 pts
Portuguesa RJ 10.0%
Jan 15 Portugu… v Botafogo 0-2
Jan 11 Portugu… v Flamengo 1-1
Sep 06 Portugu… v Maringá 1-1
Sep 03 Portugu… v Maringá 0-2
Aug 30 Portugu… v Bangu 0-0
Aug 27 Portugu… v Bangu 0-0
Aug 13 Portugu… v EC Rese… 0-0
Aug 11 Portugu… v Rayo Zu… 1-2
Jul 30 Portugu… v EC Rese… 2-3
Mar 22 Portugu… v Operári… 1-2
Maricá 5.0%
Jan 16 Maricá v Vasco D… 4-2
Jan 18 Maricá v Flumine… 1-1
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.