AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Maranhense Feb 01, 2026

Moto Club de São Luís

Home
VS
19:00

Tuntum

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Moto Club de São Luís Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Tuntum Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 58%
Market 56%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 1.40 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moto Club de São Luís Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Tuntum Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Moto Club de São Luís Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Moto Club… vs Imperatriz 2-0
Jan 25 Moto Club… vs IAPE 0-1
Jan 21 Moto Club… vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Jan 18 Moto Club… vs Fluminense 0-3
Jan 14 Moto Club… vs ITZ Sport 1-1
Jan 11 Moto Club… vs Maranhão … 1-1
Apr 23 Moto Club… vs Imperatriz 0-1
Apr 12 Moto Club… vs Tuntum 2-0
Apr 09 Moto Club… vs IAPE 2-0
Apr 05 Moto Club… vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Tuntum Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Tuntum vs Sampaio C… 1-1
Jan 25 Tuntum vs ITZ Sport 0-2
Jan 21 Tuntum vs Imperatriz 0-0
Jan 18 Tuntum vs IAPE 2-1
Jan 14 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 3-1
Jan 11 Tuntum vs Fluminense 0-2
Apr 15 Tuntum vs Sampaio C… 1-1
Apr 12 Tuntum vs Moto Club… 2-0
Apr 02 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 1-0
Mar 21 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Moto Club de São Lu… 2 - 0 Tuntum Maranhense
Jan 29, 2025 Tuntum 1 - 1 Moto Club de São Lu… Maranhense
Mar 10, 2024 Moto Club de São Lu… 1 - 1 Tuntum Maranhense
Jan 23, 2024 Tuntum 3 - 2 Moto Club de São Lu… Maranhense
Jan 30, 2022 Moto Club de São Lu… 1 - 0 Tuntum Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Moto Club de São Luís to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moto Club de São Luís Power 0
Tuntum Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Moto Club de São Luís Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Tuntum Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.