Super Cup · Jan 11, 2026 19:00
Real Madrid
PWR 49
FC Barcelona
PWR 74
PWR 74
3 - 2
FT
Real Madrid
PWR 49
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: FC Barcelona to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 72.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense50
Goals/G2.9
Conc/G1.4
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
FC Barcelona Form
WWWDL
UP
Real Madrid Form
LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS66%
Under 2.530%
FC Barcelona Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Real Madrid Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.50
FC Barcelonavs
1.15
Real MadridDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market53%
League Standings
#1
FC Barcelona+1
Gap#2
Real Madrid
WR 71% 16 pts
WR 57% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 16 |
| Real Madrid | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 12 |
FC Barcelona
14.0%
| Jan 07 | FC Barc… v Athleti… | 5-0 |
| Dec 16 | FC Barc… v CD Guad… | 0-2 |
| Dec 09 | FC Barc… v Eintrac… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | FC Barc… v Liberta… | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | FC Barc… v Chelsea | 3-0 |
| Nov 23 | FC Barc… v LDU Qui… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | FC Barc… v Orense … | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | FC Barc… v Club Br… | 3-3 |
| Nov 02 | FC Barc… v Univers… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | FC Barc… v Liberta… | 1-0 |
Real Madrid
12.0%
| Jan 08 | Real Ma… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Jan 04 | Real Ma… v Real Be… | 5-1 |
| Dec 20 | Real Ma… v Sevilla… | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Real Ma… v Alavés | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Real Ma… v Manches… | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Real Ma… v Celta d… | 0-2 |
| Dec 03 | Real Ma… v Athleti… | 0-3 |
| Nov 30 | Real Ma… v Girona | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Real Ma… v Olympia… | 3-4 |
| Nov 23 | Real Ma… v Elche | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 11, 2025 | FC Barcelona | 4-3 | Real Madrid |
| Apr 26, 2025 | FC Barcelona | 3-2 | Real Madrid |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-4 | FC Barcelona |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-5 | FC Barcelona |
| Dec 21, 2024 | FC Barcelona | 1-2 | Real Madrid |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Real Madrid | 0-4 | FC Barcelona |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Real Madrid | 3-2 | FC Barcelona |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Real Madrid | 0-3 | FC Barcelona |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Real Madrid | 4-1 | FC Barcelona |
| Dec 03, 2023 | FC Barcelona | 1-0 | Real Madrid |
Key Factors
FC Barcelona in strong form (3W in last 5)
Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.