Primeira Liga · Feb 08, 2026 15:30
Nacional
PWR 35
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
Nacional
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
3-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Nacional Form
LWLDL
STABLE
Casa Pia AC Form
WDLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS47%
Under 2.541%
Nacional Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Nacionalvs
0.64
Casa Pia ACDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings54%
Market50%
League Standings
#13
Nacional+2
Gap#15
Casa Pia AC
WR 33% 20 pts
WR 30% 18 pts
Nacional
6.0%
| Feb 01 | Nacional v Sportinā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nacional v Rio Aveā¦ | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Nacional v GIL Vicā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Nacional v Santa Cā¦ | 3-3 |
| Jan 02 | Nacional v Guimaraā¦ | 2-1 |
| Dec 21 | Nacional v AVS | 2-2 |
| Dec 15 | Nacional v Tondela | 3-1 |
| Dec 07 | Nacional v Alverca | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Nacional v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Nov 23 | Nacional v SC Braga | 4-2 |
Casa Pia AC
8.0%
| Feb 02 | Casa Piā¦ v FC Porto | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Casa Piā¦ v AVS | 3-3 |
| Jan 16 | Casa Piā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Casa Piā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 3-1 |
| Dec 28 | Casa Piā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 0-0 |
| Dec 21 | Casa Piā¦ v Tondela | 1-2 |
| Dec 17 | Casa Piā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 1-2 |
| Dec 13 | Casa Piā¦ v GIL Vicā¦ | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Casa Piā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Casa Piā¦ v Alverca | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Casa Pia AC | 0-2 | Nacional |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Nacional | 3-1 | Casa Pia AC |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 1-0 | Nacional |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 1-0 | Nacional |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Nacional | 0-0 | Casa Pia AC |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Casa Pia AC | 2-1 | Nacional |
| Feb 09, 2023 | Casa Pia AC | 2-5 | Nacional |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Casa Pia AC | 1-0 | Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Nacional | 1-2 | Casa Pia AC |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Casa Pia AC | 2-3 | Nacional |
Key Factors
Nacional struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.