Primeira Liga · Feb 07, 2026 15:30
Estrela da Amadora
PWR 35
Santa Clara
PWR 35
Estrela da Amadora
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Santa Clara
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Estrela da Amadora to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Estrela da Ama… Form
DLLDW
STABLE
Santa Clara Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS57%
Under 2.544%
Estrela da … Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Santa Clara Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Estrela da Ama…vs
1.14
Santa ClaraDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings63%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Estrela da …+5
Gap#16
Santa Clara
WR 27% 23 pts
WR 10% 17 pts
Estrela da Ama…
8.0%
| Jan 31 | Estrela… v Alverca | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Estrela… v Benfica | 4-0 |
| Jan 19 | Estrela… v Estoril | 0-5 |
| Jan 03 | Estrela… v SC Braga | 3-3 |
| Dec 27 | Estrela… v Famalic… | 2-3 |
| Dec 20 | Estrela… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Dec 15 | Estrela… v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| Dec 07 | Estrela… v Arouca | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | Estrela… v Sportin… | 4-0 |
| Nov 09 | Estrela… v Nacional | 1-1 |
Santa Clara
2.0%
| Jan 31 | Santa C… v Estoril | 2-4 |
| Jan 24 | Santa C… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Santa C… v Famalic… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Santa C… v Nacional | 3-3 |
| Jan 04 | Santa C… v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | Santa C… v Arouca | 0-0 |
| Dec 18 | Santa C… v Sportin… | 2-3 |
| Dec 15 | Santa C… v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Dec 06 | Santa C… v Casa Pi… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Santa C… v Rio Ave… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Santa Clara | 0-0 | Estrela da Am… |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Estrela da Am… | 0-0 | Santa Clara |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Santa Clara | 1-0 | Estrela da Am… |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Santa Clara | 1-0 | Estrela da Am… |
Key Factors
Santa Clara struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.