Primeira Liga · Feb 08, 2026 20:30

Benfica
PWR 35

Benfica
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Alverca
PWR 35
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
Benfica Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 9 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (9 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Benfica Form
DDWLW
STABLE
Alverca Form
DLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS35%
Under 2.541%
Benfica Goals
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Alverca Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.32
Benficavs
0.44
AlvercaDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings74%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Benfica+7
Gap#10
Alverca
WR 60% 46 pts
WR 22% 24 pts
Benfica
12.0%
| Feb 01 | Benfica v Tondela | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Benfica v Estrela… | 4-0 |
| Jan 21 | Benfica v Juventus | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Benfica v Rio Ave… | 0-2 |
| Jan 14 | Benfica v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Benfica v Newcast… | 0-5 |
| Jan 07 | Benfica v Chelsea… | 2-6 |
| Jan 07 | Benfica v SC Braga | 1-3 |
| Jan 03 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-1 |
Alverca
10.0%
| Jan 31 | Alverca v Estrela… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Alverca v SC Braga | 5-0 |
| Jan 17 | Alverca v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Alverca v Famalic… | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Alverca v Estoril | 4-1 |
| Dec 22 | Alverca v FC Porto | 0-3 |
| Dec 14 | Alverca v Arouca | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | Alverca v Nacional | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Alverca v Casa Pi… | 0-2 |
| Nov 08 | Alverca v Rio Ave… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Alverca | 1-2 | Benfica |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.