Primeira Liga · Feb 08, 2026 20:30

Benfica
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Alverca
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
Benfica Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 9 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (9 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Benfica Form DDWLW
STABLE
Alverca Form DLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS35%
Under 2.541%
Benfica Goals
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Alverca Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.32
Benfica
vs
0.44
Alverca
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings74%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Benfica
+7
Gap
#10
Alverca
WR 60% 46 pts WR 22% 24 pts
Benfica 12.0%
Feb 01 Benfica v Tondela 0-0
Jan 28 Benfica v Real Ma… 0-0
Jan 25 Benfica v Estrela… 4-0
Jan 21 Benfica v Juventus 2-0
Jan 17 Benfica v Rio Ave… 0-2
Jan 14 Benfica v FC Porto 1-0
Jan 13 Benfica v Newcast… 0-5
Jan 07 Benfica v Chelsea… 2-6
Jan 07 Benfica v SC Braga 1-3
Jan 03 Benfica v Estoril 3-1
Alverca 10.0%
Jan 31 Alverca v Estrela… 1-1
Jan 25 Alverca v SC Braga 5-0
Jan 17 Alverca v Moreire… 2-1
Jan 04 Alverca v Famalic… 1-0
Dec 27 Alverca v Estoril 4-1
Dec 22 Alverca v FC Porto 0-3
Dec 14 Alverca v Arouca 1-0
Dec 07 Alverca v Nacional 1-0
Nov 29 Alverca v Casa Pi… 0-2
Nov 08 Alverca v Rio Ave… 1-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Aug 31, 2025 Alverca 1-2 Benfica
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.