Primeira Liga · Feb 01, 2026 20:30

Tondela
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Benfica
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
Benfica Win
Prediction
1-3
Score
73%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (24%) 1-0 (18%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSN/A
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 73%
DecisionBET
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORINGAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMESAWAY_DOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed (6 independent rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Tondela Form LLLWL
DOWN
Benfica Form DWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.518%
BTTS26%
Under 2.582%
Tondela Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Benfica Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Tondela
vs
0.67
Benfica
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings30%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Tondela
-14
Gap
#3
Benfica
WR 10% 14 pts WR 70% 49 pts
Tondela 4.0%
Jan 25 Tondela v Famalic… 3-0
Jan 18 Tondela v SC Braga 0-1
Jan 11 Tondela v Moreire… 1-0
Jan 03 Tondela v Arouca 3-1
Dec 21 Tondela v Casa Pi… 1-2
Dec 15 Tondela v Nacional 3-1
Dec 07 Tondela v FC Porto 0-2
Nov 29 Tondela v GIL Vic… 0-1
Nov 23 Tondela v Caldas 0-0
Nov 08 Tondela v Guimara… 0-1
Benfica 10.0%
Jan 28 Benfica v Real Ma… 0-0
Jan 25 Benfica v Estrela… 4-0
Jan 21 Benfica v Juventus 2-0
Jan 17 Benfica v Rio Ave… 0-2
Jan 14 Benfica v FC Porto 1-0
Jan 07 Benfica v SC Braga 1-3
Jan 03 Benfica v Estoril 3-1
Dec 28 Benfica v SC Braga 2-2
Dec 22 Benfica v Famalic… 1-0
Dec 17 Benfica v Paris S… 0-1
Head-to-Head (8)
Oct 29, 2025 Benfica 3-0 Tondela
Aug 23, 2025 Benfica 3-0 Tondela
Apr 28, 2024 Tondela 1-1 Benfica
Feb 07, 2022 Tondela 1-3 Benfica
Aug 29, 2021 Benfica 2-1 Tondela
Apr 30, 2021 Tondela 0-2 Benfica
Jan 08, 2021 Benfica 2-0 Tondela
Jun 04, 2020 Benfica 0-0 Tondela
Key Factors
Tondela struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.