Primeira Liga · Feb 02, 2026 20:45

Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

FC Porto
PWR 35
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (26%) 0-0 (19%) 0-2 (18%) 0-3 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Casa Pia AC Form DLLDW
STABLE
FC Porto Form DWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS19%
Under 2.577%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
FC Porto Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Casa Pia AC
vs
1.37
FC Porto
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Casa Pia AC
-14
Gap
#1
FC Porto
WR 10% 18 pts WR 91% 55 pts
Casa Pia AC 8.0%
Jan 23 Casa Pi… v AVS 3-3
Jan 16 Casa Pi… v Sportin… 3-0
Jan 04 Casa Pi… v Rio Ave… 3-1
Dec 28 Casa Pi… v Guimara… 0-0
Dec 21 Casa Pi… v Tondela 1-2
Dec 17 Casa Pi… v Moreire… 1-2
Dec 13 Casa Pi… v GIL Vic… 1-1
Dec 06 Casa Pi… v Santa C… 1-0
Nov 29 Casa Pi… v Alverca 0-2
Nov 09 Casa Pi… v Benfica 2-2
FC Porto 16.0%
Jan 29 FC Porto v Rangers… 0-0
Jan 26 FC Porto v GIL Vic… 3-0
Jan 22 FC Porto v Plzen 1-1
Jan 18 FC Porto v Guimara… 0-1
Jan 14 FC Porto v Benfica 1-0
Jan 04 FC Porto v Santa C… 0-1
Dec 29 FC Porto v AVS 2-0
Dec 22 FC Porto v Alverca 0-3
Dec 18 FC Porto v Famalic… 4-1
Dec 15 FC Porto v Estrela… 3-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 24, 2025 FC Porto 4-0 Casa Pia AC
Apr 12, 2025 Casa Pia AC 0-1 FC Porto
Dec 02, 2024 FC Porto 2-0 Casa Pia AC
Dec 02, 2024 FC Porto 2-0 Casa Pia AC
Apr 21, 2024 Casa Pia AC 1-2 FC Porto
Apr 21, 2024 Casa Pia AC 1-2 FC Porto
Dec 09, 2023 FC Porto 3-1 Casa Pia AC
Dec 09, 2023 FC Porto 3-1 Casa Pia AC
May 14, 2023 FC Porto 2-1 Casa Pia AC
Jan 07, 2023 Casa Pia AC 0-0 FC Porto
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.