AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Feb 02, 2026

Kwara United

Home
VS
15:00

Warri Wolves

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Kwara United Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Warri Wolves Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 3.25 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Kwara United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Warri Wolves Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Kwara United Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Kwara Uni… vs Kun Khali… 1-0
Jan 18 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 1-0
Jan 14 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 0-1
Dec 27 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 2-0
Dec 21 Kwara Uni… vs Bayelsa U… 2-0
Dec 14 Kwara Uni… vs Enyimba 3-1
Dec 07 Kwara Uni… vs Niger Tor… 2-0
Nov 30 Kwara Uni… vs Barau FC 3-2
Nov 23 Kwara Uni… vs Shooting … 0-0
Nov 16 Kwara Uni… vs Abia Warr… 2-0
Warri Wolves Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Warri Wol… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Jan 25 Warri Wol… vs Enugu Ran… 4-2
Jan 19 Warri Wol… vs Katsina U… 2-0
Jan 14 Warri Wol… vs Wikki Tou… 0-1
Dec 28 Warri Wol… vs Wikki Tou… 2-2
Dec 21 Warri Wol… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Dec 14 Warri Wol… vs Kano Pill… 0-0
Dec 07 Warri Wol… vs Plateau U… 1-0
Nov 30 Warri Wol… vs Nasarawa … 1-0
Nov 23 Warri Wol… vs Kun Khali… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Warri Wolves in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Kwara United struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2025 Warri Wolves 0 - 0 Kwara United NPFL
Jul 18, 2021 Warri Wolves 1 - 0 Kwara United NPFL
Feb 28, 2021 Kwara United 2 - 0 Warri Wolves NPFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kwara United Power 0
Warri Wolves Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Kwara United Position

-9

Position Gap

9

Warri Wolves Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.