AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Sep 14, 2025

Warri Wolves

Home
VS
15:00

Kwara United

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Warri Wolves Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Kwara United Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 3.47 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Warri Wolves Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Kwara United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Warri Wolves Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Warri Wol… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Aug 31 Warri Wol… vs Enugu Ran… 2-0
Aug 24 Warri Wol… vs Katsina U… 0-1
Jul 25 Warri Wol… vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Jul 18 Warri Wol… vs Kwara Uni… 1-0
Jun 27 Warri Wol… vs Enugu Ran… 0-1
May 30 Warri Wol… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Mar 14 Warri Wol… vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Feb 28 Warri Wol… vs Kwara Uni… 2-0
Feb 07 Warri Wol… vs Enugu Ran… 1-0
Kwara United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Kwara Uni… vs Kun Khali… 2-0
Aug 31 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 1-0
Aug 24 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 0-0
May 11 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 3-1
Apr 13 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 0-1
Mar 26 Kwara Uni… vs Nasarawa … 1-0
Feb 09 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 2-1
Dec 15 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 2-1
Nov 23 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 3-1
Nov 10 Kwara Uni… vs Nasarawa … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Warri Wolves in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 18, 2021 Warri Wolves 1 - 0 Kwara United NPFL
Feb 28, 2021 Kwara United 2 - 0 Warri Wolves NPFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Warri Wolves to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Warri Wolves Power 0
Kwara United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Warri Wolves Position

+9

Position Gap

18

Kwara United Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.