AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
EFL Trophy Jan 13, 2026

Bolton

Home
VS
19:00

Swindon

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Bolton Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Swindon Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 61%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 0.88 - 1.02
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Swindon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (15%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Bolton Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Bolton vs Peterboro… 3-1
Jan 10 Bolton vs Stevenage 2-1
Jan 10 Bolton vs Braintree 0-0
Jan 04 Bolton vs Northampt… 0-0
Jan 03 Bolton vs Eastleigh 1-2
Jan 01 Bolton vs Exeter Ci… 1-0
Jan 01 Bolton vs Doncaster 1-1
Dec 30 Bolton vs Crawley T… 1-2
Dec 29 Bolton vs Leyton Or… 3-0
Dec 29 Bolton vs Mansfield… 0-1
Swindon Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Swindon vs Bolton 4-0
Dec 02 Swindon vs Peterboro… 1-0
Nov 11 Swindon vs Milton Ke… 0-4
Nov 01 Swindon vs Rotherham… 1-2
Oct 28 Swindon vs West Ham … 2-3
Oct 04 Swindon vs Newport C… 0-1
Sep 27 Swindon vs Burnley 2-0
Sep 20 Swindon vs Watford 3-2
Sep 13 Swindon vs Harrogate 3-1
Sep 06 Swindon vs Barrow 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Swindon in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2025 Swindon 4 - 0 Bolton FA Cup
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bolton to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 98
  • Power: 39 vs 0
Bolton Power 39
Swindon Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.