EFL Trophy · Jan 13, 2026 19:00
Bristol Rovers
PWR 27
Plymouth
PWR 33
Bristol Rovers
PWR 27
3 - 4
FT
Plymouth
PWR 33
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
Bristol Rovers Win
Prediction
4-0
Score
73%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (21%)
0-2 (20%)
0-3 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-4
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense51
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.6
Attack37
Defense57
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Bristol Rovers Form
WLLDL
STABLE
Plymouth Form
WDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.536%
BTTS22%
Under 2.564%
Bristol Rov… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Plymouth Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Bristol Roversvs
1.88
PlymouthDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings82%
Market35%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Bristol Rov…+1
Gap#2
Plymouth
WR 100% 8 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Bristol Rovers
6.0%
| Jan 01 | Bristol… v Shrewsb… | 0-3 |
| Dec 29 | Bristol… v Barnet | 0-2 |
| Dec 26 | Bristol… v Bromley | 2-3 |
| Dec 19 | Bristol… v Crewe | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Bristol… v Swindon… | 0-3 |
| Dec 09 | Bristol… v Barnet | 4-0 |
| Dec 06 | Bristol… v Port Va… | 1-0 |
| Dec 02 | Bristol… v Cambrid… | 2-2 |
| Nov 29 | Bristol… v Notts C… | 0-1 |
| Nov 22 | Bristol… v Chelten… | 1-0 |
Plymouth
12.0%
| Jan 04 | Plymouth v Burton … | 3-0 |
| Jan 01 | Plymouth v Stevena… | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Plymouth v Wycombe | 1-1 |
| Dec 26 | Plymouth v Reading… | 1-4 |
| Dec 20 | Plymouth v Doncast… | 1-5 |
| Dec 13 | Plymouth v Rotherh… | 1-0 |
| Dec 09 | Plymouth v Wycombe | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Plymouth v Bradford | 0-1 |
| Dec 02 | Plymouth v Leyton … | 0-1 |
| Nov 29 | Plymouth v Northam… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 11, 2025 | Bristol Rovers | 1-0 | Plymouth |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Bristol Rovers | 2-1 | Plymouth |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Plymouth | 2-0 | Bristol Rovers |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Bristol Rovers | 0-2 | Plymouth |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Bristol Rovers | 2-2 | Plymouth |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Plymouth | 1-1 | Bristol Rovers |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Bristol Rovers | 1-1 | Plymouth |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Plymouth | 2-0 | Bristol Rovers |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Bristol Rovers | 3-0 | Plymouth |
Key Factors
Bristol Rovers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.