Sudani Premier League · Jan 23, 2026 13:15
Umm Mughad
PWR 52
PWR 52
4 - 0
FT
Merreikh Kosti
PWR 28
PWR 28
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Umm Mughad to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
2-0 (22%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (12%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense65
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Attack22
Defense48
Goals/G0.6
Conc/G1.5
Umm Mughad Form
DWLDW
STABLE
Merreikh Kosti Form
LDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS15%
Under 2.566%
Umm Mughad Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Merreikh Ko… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Umm Mughadvs
0.20
Merreikh KostiDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Umm Mughad+13
Gap#25
Merreikh Ko…
WR 33% 18 pts
WR 13% 5 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umm Mughad | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 18 |
| Merreikh Kosti | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
Umm Mughad
12.0%
| Jan 20 | Umm Mug… v Al Ahli… | 2-2 |
| Jan 15 | Umm Mug… v Al Rabt… | 0-3 |
| Jan 11 | Umm Mug… v Al Ahli… | 1-3 |
| Jan 07 | Umm Mug… v Al Hila… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Umm Mug… v Kober | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Umm Mug… v Hay Al … | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Umm Mug… v Al-Ahly… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Umm Mug… v Hay Al … | 1-1 |
Merreikh Kosti
2.5%
| Jan 19 | Merreik… v Al Ahli… | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Merreik… v Al Ahli… | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Merreik… v Al Hila… | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Merreik… v Al Rabt… | 1-0 |
Key Factors
Merreikh Kosti struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.