Predictions Match Details
Sudani Premier League · Jan 20, 2026 13:15
Umm Mughad
PWR 52
2 - 2
FT

Al Ahli Khartoum
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Umm Mughad to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 5% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 5%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense65
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Attack28
Defense47
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.5
Umm Mughad Form WLDWD
STABLE
Al Ahli Kharto… Form DLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS13%
Under 2.581%
Umm Mughad Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Al Ahli Kha… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Umm Mughad
vs
0.20
Al Ahli Kharto…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Umm Mughad
-2
Gap
#10
Al Ahli Kha…
WR 33% 18 pts WR 29% 22 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Umm Mughad12462191218
Al Ahli Khartoum216411173222
Umm Mughad 12.0%
Jan 15 Umm Mug… v Al Rabt… 0-3
Jan 11 Umm Mug… v Al Ahli… 1-3
Jan 07 Umm Mug… v Al Hila… 0-0
Feb 04 Umm Mug… v Kober 2-1
Feb 01 Umm Mug… v Hay Al … 1-1
Jan 25 Umm Mug… v Al-Ahly… 1-1
Jan 20 Umm Mug… v Hay Al … 1-1
Al Ahli Kharto… 6.0%
Jan 16 Al Ahli… v Merreik… 0-0
Jan 12 Al Ahli… v Al Rabt… 1-0
Jan 07 Al Ahli… v Al Ahli… 3-0
Feb 11 Al Ahli… v Al Fall… 3-2
Feb 07 Al Ahli… v Alamal … 2-0
Feb 02 Al Ahli… v Al Ahli… 1-0
Jan 16 Al Ahli… v Al Ahli… 2-0
Mar 01 Al Ahli… v Al Rabt… 2-0
Dec 20 Al Ahli… v Al Hila… 2-1
Oct 20 Al Ahli… v Al Rabt… 0-0
Key Factors
Al Ahli Khartoum struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.