Sudani Premier League · Jan 16, 2026 13:15
Hilal El-Fasher
PWR 46
PWR 46
0 - 2
FT
Al Merreikh El Obeid
PWR 45
PWR 45
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%)
1-0 (16%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
0-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk40%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 2% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 2%, pos gap 4
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense63
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack44
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Hilal El-Fasher Form
WWLWL
STABLE
Al Merreikh El… Form
WWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS35%
Under 2.556%
Hilal El-Fa… Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Al Merreikh… Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Hilal El-Fashervs
0.51
Al Merreikh El…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Hilal El-Fa…+4
Gap#8
Al Merreikh…
WR 35% 31 pts
WR 37% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilal El-Fasher | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 31 |
| Al Merreikh El … | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 26 | 24 |
Hilal El-Fasher
12.0%
| Jan 13 | Hilal E… v Hay Al … | 1-0 |
| Jan 08 | Hilal E… v Al Zama… | 2-1 |
| Feb 18 | Hilal E… v Al Zama… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Hilal E… v Haidob … | 1-4 |
| Feb 11 | Hilal E… v Al Rabt… | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Hilal E… v Al Merr… | 1-3 |
| Jan 27 | Hilal E… v Al Zama… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Hilal E… v Haidob … | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Hilal E… v Al Merr… | 2-5 |
| Mar 30 | Hilal E… v Haidob … | 1-0 |
Al Merreikh El…
10.0%
| Jan 11 | Al Merr… v Al Zama… | 4-1 |
| Jan 07 | Al Merr… v Al Fajr | 2-1 |
| Jul 21 | Al Merr… v Al-Merg… | 1-1 |
| Jul 19 | Al Merr… v Al Hila… | 5-0 |
| Jul 16 | Al Merr… v Al Ahli… | 0-1 |
| Jul 13 | Al Merr… v Al Zama… | 1-0 |
| Jul 10 | Al Merr… v Hay Al … | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Al Merr… v Al Rabt… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Al Merr… v Al Zama… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Al Merr… v Haidob … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 03, 2025 | Hilal El-Fash… | 1-3 | Al Merreikh E… |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Hilal El-Fash… | 2-5 | Al Merreikh E… |
Key Factors
Hilal El-Fasher in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.