League Cup · Jan 14, 2026 20:00
Chelsea
PWR 42
Arsenal
PWR 48
Chelsea
PWR 42
2 - 3
FT
Arsenal
PWR 48
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Chelsea to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
0-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense66
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
Attack58
Defense79
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G0.7
Chelsea Form
WLLDD
STABLE
Arsenal Form
DWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS55%
Under 2.550%
Chelsea Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Arsenal Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Chelseavs
1.46
ArsenalDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Chelsea+1
Gap#4
Arsenal
WR 46% 20 pts
WR 86% 19 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 20 |
| Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 19 |
Chelsea
8.0%
| Jan 10 | Chelsea v Charlton | 1-5 |
| Jan 10 | Chelsea v Leicest… | 0-2 |
| Jan 07 | Chelsea v Fulham | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Chelsea v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Dec 30 | Chelsea v Bournem… | 2-2 |
| Dec 27 | Chelsea v Aston V… | 1-2 |
| Dec 20 | Chelsea v Newcast… | 2-2 |
| Dec 16 | Chelsea v Cardiff | 1-3 |
| Dec 13 | Chelsea v Everton | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | Chelsea v Atalanta | 2-1 |
Arsenal
16.0%
| Jan 08 | Arsenal v Liverpo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Arsenal v Bournem… | 2-3 |
| Dec 30 | Arsenal v Aston V… | 4-1 |
| Dec 27 | Arsenal v Brighton | 2-1 |
| Dec 23 | Arsenal v Crystal… | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Arsenal v Everton | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Arsenal v Wolves | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | Arsenal v Aston V… | 2-1 |
| Dec 03 | Arsenal v Brentfo… | 2-0 |
| Nov 30 | Arsenal v Chelsea | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Chelsea |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Arsenal | 5-0 | Chelsea |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Arsenal |
| May 02, 2023 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Chelsea |
| Nov 06, 2022 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Arsenal |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Arsenal | 4-0 | Chelsea |
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.