AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Jan 31, 2026

Portadown

Home
VS
17:30

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Portadown Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Carrick Rangers Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 44%
Market 40%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
Asian Handicap: Level (0)
xG: 2.90 - 1.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.4 Asian Handicap: Level (0)
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Portadown Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Portadown vs Bangor 1-0
Jan 13 Portadown vs Annagh Un… 4-2
Dec 30 Portadown vs Glentoran 2-1
Dec 26 Portadown vs Glentoran 1-0
Dec 20 Portadown vs Dungannon… 4-2
Dec 13 Portadown vs Ballymena… 1-0
Dec 06 Portadown vs Crusaders… 0-4
Nov 29 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 2-3
Nov 22 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-2
Nov 15 Portadown vs Bangor 1-1
Carrick Rangers Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 5-1
Jan 17 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 1-4
Jan 13 Carrick R… vs Linfield 0-0
Jan 10 Carrick R… vs Queen's U… 5-1
Jan 03 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 0-7
Dec 30 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 2-2
Dec 26 Carrick R… vs Larne 1-2
Dec 20 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 1-1
Dec 13 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 3-3
Dec 06 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carrick Rangers in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Portadown struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 22, 2025 Carrick Rangers 1 - 2 Portadown Premiership
Oct 11, 2025 Carrick Rangers 1 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Apr 05, 2025 Carrick Rangers 4 - 1 Portadown Premiership
Mar 08, 2025 Portadown 1 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 09, 2024 Portadown 1 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Sep 07, 2024 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Portadown Premiership
Jan 06, 2024 Carrick Rangers 1 - 1 Portadown Irish Cup
Apr 15, 2023 Portadown 3 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Mar 04, 2023 Portadown 1 - 3 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 19, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portadown Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Portadown Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.