AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 11, 2026

Rochdale

Home
VS
19:45

Forest Green

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Rochdale Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Forest Green Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.86 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Forest Green Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Rochdale Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Rochdale vs Boreham W… 4-1
Jan 27 Rochdale vs Southend 2-1
Jan 24 Rochdale vs Truro City 2-0
Jan 21 Rochdale vs Solihull … 0-1
Jan 17 Rochdale vs Gateshead 0-2
Jan 13 Rochdale vs Tamworth 1-1
Dec 30 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 1-2
Dec 26 Rochdale vs Morecambe 1-2
Dec 19 Rochdale vs Altrincham 0-3
Nov 29 Rochdale vs Eastleigh 2-0
Forest Green Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Forest Gr… vs Woking 4-2
Jan 31 Forest Gr… vs Wealdstone 0-1
Jan 24 Forest Gr… vs Scunthorpe 3-2
Jan 21 Forest Gr… vs Altrincham 1-1
Jan 17 Forest Gr… vs Sutton Un… 1-1
Jan 10 Forest Gr… vs Ebbsfleet… 0-2
Jan 03 Forest Gr… vs FC Halifa… 2-1
Dec 30 Forest Gr… vs Truro City 1-1
Dec 26 Forest Gr… vs Brackley … 1-0
Dec 20 Forest Gr… vs Yeovil To… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rochdale in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2025 Forest Green 0 - 1 Rochdale National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rochdale to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rochdale Power 49
Forest Green Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Rochdale Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Forest Green Position
Home Win Rate: 85%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.