Primeira Liga · Apr 06, 2025 19:30
FC Porto
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
1 - 4
FT
Benfica
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Porto to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (20%)
1-0 (16%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Porto Form
DWLLW
STABLE
Benfica Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS31%
Under 2.578%
FC Porto Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Benfica Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
FC Portovs
0.80
BenficaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
FC Porto+2
Gap#3
Benfica
WR 89% 55 pts
WR 70% 49 pts
FC Porto
10.0%
| Mar 30 | FC Porto v Rubin K… | 0-0 |
| Mar 30 | FC Porto v Estoril | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | FC Porto v CSKA Mo… | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | FC Porto v Leixões… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | FC Porto v AVS | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | FC Porto v Lokomot… | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | FC Porto v Zenit S… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v Dinamo … | 4-1 |
| Mar 01 | FC Porto v Arouca | 0-2 |
Benfica
14.0%
| Apr 04 | Benfica v Babrung… | 1-2 |
| Apr 02 | Benfica v Farense | 3-2 |
| Mar 31 | Benfica v Académi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 28 | Benfica v Jonava | 0-0 |
| Mar 28 | Benfica v GIL Vic… | 0-3 |
| Mar 16 | Benfica v Rio Ave… | 2-3 |
| Mar 15 | Benfica v TransIN… | 4-0 |
| Mar 11 | Benfica v FC Barc… | 3-1 |
| Mar 08 | Benfica v Nacional | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Benfica v Žalgiri… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 06, 2025 | Benfica | 2-1 | FC Porto |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Benfica | 4-1 | FC Porto |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Benfica | 4-1 | FC Porto |
| May 17, 2024 | Benfica | 5-2 | FC Porto |
| Mar 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 5-0 | Benfica |
| Mar 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 5-0 | Benfica |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FC Porto | 0-3 | Benfica |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Benfica | 1-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 09, 2023 | Benfica | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| May 27, 2023 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.