Primeira Liga · Mar 03, 2024 20:30
FC Porto
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
5 - 0
FT
Benfica
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Porto to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (19%)
0-0 (17%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 5-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Porto Form
WDDLW
STABLE
Benfica Form
LWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS19%
Under 2.575%
FC Porto Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Benfica Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
FC Portovs
0.28
BenficaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
FC Porto+2
Gap#3
Benfica
WR 89% 55 pts
WR 70% 46 pts
FC Porto
12.0%
| Feb 29 | FC Porto v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | FC Porto v GIL Vic… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | FC Porto v GIL Vic… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | FC Porto v Leixões… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | FC Porto v Arsenal | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | FC Porto v Estrela… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | FC Porto v Estrela… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | FC Porto v Arouca | 3-2 |
| Feb 03 | FC Porto v Rio Ave… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | FC Porto v Farense | 1-3 |
Benfica
14.0%
| Feb 29 | Benfica v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Benfica v Portimo… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Benfica v Toulouse | 0-0 |
| Feb 18 | Benfica v Vizela | 6-1 |
| Feb 15 | Benfica v Toulouse | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Benfica v Guimara… | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | Benfica v Leixões… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica v Vizela | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | Benfica v MarĂtimo | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Benfica v GIL Vic… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 14, 2024 | FC Porto | 0-3 | Benfica |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Benfica | 1-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 09, 2023 | Benfica | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| May 27, 2023 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Benfica |
| Apr 07, 2023 | Benfica | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Benfica | 2-2 | FC Porto |
| Oct 21, 2022 | FC Porto | 0-1 | Benfica |
| May 13, 2022 | FC Porto | 2-3 | Benfica |
| May 07, 2022 | Benfica | 0-1 | FC Porto |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Benfica | 1-2 | FC Porto |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.