AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Cup Aug 09, 2023

Benfica

Home
VS
19:45

FC Porto

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Benfica Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
FC Porto Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.33 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Benfica Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 27 Benfica vs FC Porto 3-1
May 21 Benfica vs Sporting … 2-2
May 06 Benfica vs SC Braga 1-0
Apr 23 Benfica vs Estoril 1-0
Apr 07 Benfica vs FC Porto 1-2
Apr 02 Benfica vs Rio Ave FC 0-1
Mar 26 Benfica vs Sporting … 0-1
Mar 19 Benfica vs Moreirense 2-0
Mar 03 Benfica vs Famalicao 2-0
Feb 25 Benfica vs Leixões SC 1-1
FC Porto Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 FC Porto vs Rubin 1-0
Jul 26 FC Porto vs Estrela d… 3-3
May 27 FC Porto vs Benfica 3-1
May 27 FC Porto vs Guimaraes 3-0
May 20 FC Porto vs Famalicao 2-4
May 14 FC Porto vs Casa Pia … 2-1
May 07 FC Porto vs Farense 2-0
May 04 FC Porto vs Famalicao 3-2
Apr 26 FC Porto vs Famalicao 1-2
Apr 16 FC Porto vs Moreirense 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Porto in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 27, 2023 FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica Liga Portugal 2
Apr 07, 2023 Benfica 1 - 2 FC Porto Primeira Liga
Jan 22, 2023 Benfica 2 - 2 FC Porto Liga Portugal 2
Oct 21, 2022 FC Porto 0 - 1 Benfica Primeira Liga
May 13, 2022 FC Porto 2 - 3 Benfica Liga Portugal 2
May 07, 2022 Benfica 0 - 1 FC Porto Primeira Liga
Jan 10, 2022 Benfica 1 - 2 FC Porto Liga Portugal 2
Dec 30, 2021 FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica Primeira Liga
May 22, 2021 Benfica 2 - 1 FC Porto Liga Portugal 2
Jan 25, 2021 FC Porto 1 - 1 Benfica Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Benfica to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Benfica Power 0
FC Porto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.