Liga MX · Feb 23, 2023 02:05
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Atlas
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Atlas
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form
WLLWD
STABLE
Atlas Form
DWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS45%
Under 2.546%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Atlas Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Cruz Azulvs
0.69
AtlasDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul+1
Gap#3
Atlas
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 50% 9 pts
Cruz Azul
10.0%
| Feb 18 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 1-3 |
| Feb 12 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 0-1 |
| Dec 31 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 0-2 |
| Dec 23 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 1-1 |
| Oct 09 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 02 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 2-1 |
| Sep 16 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-1 |
| Sep 03 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 2-2 |
| Aug 14 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 2-3 |
Atlas
14.0%
| Feb 05 | Atlas v U.N.A.M… | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | Atlas v Mazatlá… | 2-1 |
| Dec 21 | Atlas v Mazatlá… | 2-1 |
| Oct 02 | Atlas v Necaxa | 1-0 |
| Sep 08 | Atlas v Mazatlá… | 1-0 |
| Sep 04 | Atlas v U.N.A.M… | 0-0 |
| Aug 21 | Atlas v Puebla | 1-1 |
| Jul 16 | Atlas v Cruz Az… | 3-2 |
| Jun 27 | Atlas v Cruz Az… | 2-2 |
| Apr 15 | Atlas v Mazatlá… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jul 16, 2022 | Atlas | 3-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Atlas | 2-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Apr 03, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 1-0 | Atlas |
Key Factors
Atlas in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.