AI Match Insights

Liga MX Apr 03, 2022

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
23:00

Atlas

Away
AI Predictions 56.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
56.0%
Draw
22.8%
Atlas Win
21.2%
Home Win (56% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.72 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.1
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Cruz Azul Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-3
Feb 21 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 1-4
Jan 16 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 1-0
Oct 24 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 1-1
Sep 25 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-1
Sep 11 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 2-1
Aug 15 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 4-0
Jan 17 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 0-1
Atlas Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Atlas vs Puebla 1-1
Sep 29 Atlas vs Puebla 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Atlas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Atlas Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.