AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Maranhense Apr 12, 2025

Moto Club de São Luís

Home
VS
19:00

Tuntum

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Moto Club de São Luís Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Tuntum Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.52 - 0.20
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moto Club de São Luís Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Tuntum Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (49%) 1-0 (25%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 7%
Over 2.5 Goals 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 96%
Moto Club de São Luís Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Moto Club… vs IAPE 2-0
Apr 05 Moto Club… vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Mar 20 Moto Club… vs Santos 1-1
Feb 25 Moto Club… vs IAPE 1-0
Feb 08 Moto Club… vs Imperatriz 0-1
Feb 01 Moto Club… vs Sampaio C… 1-1
Jan 29 Moto Club… vs Tuntum 1-1
Mar 23 Moto Club… vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Mar 10 Moto Club… vs Tuntum 1-1
Feb 29 Moto Club… vs Imperatriz 0-1
Tuntum Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 1-0
Mar 21 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 1-0
Mar 18 Tuntum vs IAPE 2-1
Feb 23 Tuntum vs Imperatriz 0-0
Feb 18 Tuntum vs IAPE 1-1
Jan 29 Tuntum vs Moto Club… 1-1
Jan 26 Tuntum vs Sampaio C… 1-2
Jan 15 Tuntum vs Imperatriz 1-2
Apr 11 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 2-1
Apr 07 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 29, 2025 Tuntum 1 - 1 Moto Club de São Lu… Maranhense
Mar 10, 2024 Moto Club de São Lu… 1 - 1 Tuntum Maranhense
Jan 23, 2024 Tuntum 3 - 2 Moto Club de São Lu… Maranhense
Jan 30, 2022 Moto Club de São Lu… 1 - 0 Tuntum Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Moto Club de São Luís to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moto Club de São Luís Power 0
Tuntum Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Moto Club de São Luís Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Tuntum Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.