AI Match Insights

Maranhense - 2 Oct 19, 2025

Lago Verde

Home
VS
18:30

ITZ Sport

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Lago Verde Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
ITZ Sport Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 95%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 3.83 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Lago Verde Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
ITZ Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Lago Verde Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Lago Verde vs ITZ Sport 2-1
Oct 11 Lago Verde vs Ituano 3-1
Oct 08 Lago Verde vs Ituano 0-3
Oct 01 Lago Verde vs São José … 4-0
Sep 28 Lago Verde vs Timon MA 1-2
Sep 20 Lago Verde vs São José … 0-1
Sep 13 Lago Verde vs Timon MA 3-3
ITZ Sport Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 ITZ Sport vs Lago Verde 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lago Verde in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 15, 2025 ITZ Sport 2 - 1 Lago Verde Maranhense - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lago Verde to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lago Verde Power 0
ITZ Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.