Predictions Match Details
Eredivisie · Dec 08, 2024 13:30

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Ajax
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (14%) 0-1 (14%) 1-2 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 9%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AZ Alkmaar Form WWLLD
STABLE
Ajax Form DDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS42%
Under 2.552%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Ajax Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
AZ Alkmaar
vs
2.01
Ajax
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
AZ Alkmaar
-3
Gap
#4
Ajax
WR 36% 33 pts WR 27% 39 pts
AZ Alkmaar 10.0%
Dec 01 AZ Alkm… v Heracles 1-0
Nov 24 AZ Alkm… v Sparta … 1-2
Nov 10 AZ Alkm… v Willem … 1-2
Nov 02 AZ Alkm… v Feyenoo… 3-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… 2-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… 2-2
Oct 19 AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… 1-2
Oct 19 AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… 1-2
Oct 06 AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… 1-0
Oct 06 AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… 1-0
Ajax 14.0%
Dec 04 Ajax v Utrecht 2-2
Dec 04 Ajax v Utrecht 2-2
Dec 01 Ajax v NEC Nij… 1-2
Nov 24 Ajax v Zwolle 2-0
Nov 10 Ajax v FC Twen… 2-2
Nov 02 Ajax v PSV Ein… 3-2
Oct 30 Ajax v Feyenoo… 0-2
Oct 30 Ajax v Feyenoo… 0-2
Oct 27 Ajax v Willem … 1-0
Oct 24 Ajax v Qarabağ… 0-3
Head-to-Head (7)
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax
Oct 08, 2023 Ajax 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
May 06, 2023 Ajax 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
Sep 18, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Ajax
May 08, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Ajax
Mar 03, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 0-2 Ajax
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.