Predictions Match Details
Eredivisie · Feb 25, 2024 15:45

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Ajax
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-3 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-3 (4%) 2-2 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 9%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AZ Alkmaar Form WWDLL
STABLE
Ajax Form DLDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS93%
Under 2.526%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
Ajax Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.53
AZ Alkmaar
vs
3.07
Ajax
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
AZ Alkmaar
-3
Gap
#4
Ajax
WR 36% 33 pts WR 27% 39 pts
AZ Alkmaar 10.0%
Feb 17 AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… 1-2
Feb 17 AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… 1-2
Feb 10 AZ Alkm… v Almere … 0-0
Feb 07 AZ Alkm… v Feyenoo… 2-0
Feb 04 AZ Alkm… v Feyenoo… 0-1
Jan 28 AZ Alkm… v Heerenv… 2-2
Jan 20 AZ Alkm… v Zwolle 2-2
Jan 20 AZ Alkm… v Zwolle 2-2
Jan 16 AZ Alkm… v Quick B… 3-3
Jan 13 AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… 2-1
Ajax 12.0%
Feb 18 Ajax v NEC Nij… 2-2
Feb 11 Ajax v Heerenv… 3-2
Feb 03 Ajax v PSV Ein… 1-1
Jan 27 Ajax v Heracles 2-4
Jan 21 Ajax v Waalwijk 4-1
Jan 14 Ajax v GO Ahea… 2-3
Jan 14 Ajax v GO Ahea… 2-3
Dec 21 Ajax v Heracles 3-2
Dec 17 Ajax v Zwolle 2-2
Dec 09 Ajax v Sparta … 2-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Oct 08, 2023 Ajax 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
May 06, 2023 Ajax 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
Sep 18, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Ajax
May 08, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Ajax
Mar 03, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 0-2 Ajax
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.