Predictions Match Details
Eredivisie · Oct 08, 2023 12:30

Ajax
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AZ Alkmaar to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-2 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 1-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ajax Form LDDWD
STABLE
AZ Alkmaar Form WWWWD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS45%
Under 2.550%
Ajax Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Ajax
vs
2.05
AZ Alkmaar
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings60%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Ajax
+3
Gap
#7
AZ Alkmaar
WR 64% 39 pts WR 46% 33 pts
Ajax 10.0%
Sep 27 Ajax v Feyenoo… 0-4
Sep 03 Ajax v Fortuna… 0-0
Aug 19 Ajax v Excelsi… 2-2
May 16 Ajax v Groning… 2-3
May 06 Ajax v AZ Alkm… 0-0
Apr 09 Ajax v Fortuna… 4-0
Apr 05 Ajax v Feyenoo… 1-2
Apr 02 Ajax v GO Ahea… 0-0
Mar 19 Ajax v Feyenoo… 2-3
Jan 29 Ajax v Excelsi… 1-4
AZ Alkmaar 18.0%
Oct 01 AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… 4-0
Sep 24 AZ Alkm… v Zwolle 0-3
Aug 13 AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… 5-1
May 21 AZ Alkm… v NEC Nij… 0-3
May 06 AZ Alkm… v Ajax 0-0
Apr 16 AZ Alkm… v Fortuna… 0-3
Mar 19 AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… 2-1
Feb 10 AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… 5-0
Feb 04 AZ Alkm… v FC Vole… 1-1
Jan 25 AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… 1-4
Head-to-Head (4)
May 06, 2023 Ajax 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
Sep 18, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Ajax
May 08, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Ajax
Mar 03, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 0-2 Ajax
Key Factors
AZ Alkmaar in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.