AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Feminine Division 1 Feb 08, 2026

Lyon Women

Home
VS
14:00

Saint-Étienne Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Lyon Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Saint-Étienne Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lyon Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Saint-Étienne Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Lyon Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Lyon Women vs Paris Sai… 0-0
Jan 18 Lyon Women vs Paris FC … 0-0
Jan 14 Lyon Women vs Lens Women 1-0
Dec 20 Lyon Women vs FC Fleury… 3-0
Dec 17 Lyon Women vs Atlético … 0-0
Dec 13 Lyon Women vs Le Havre … 0-7
Dec 10 Lyon Women vs Mancheste… 0-3
Dec 06 Lyon Women vs Dijon Wom… 0-3
Nov 22 Lyon Women vs Strasbour… 5-0
Nov 19 Lyon Women vs Juventus … 3-3
Saint-Étienne Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Saint-Éti… vs Le Havre … 1-1
Jan 17 Saint-Éti… vs Nantes Wo… 0-1
Jan 14 Saint-Éti… vs Marseille… 0-1
Dec 20 Saint-Éti… vs Dijon Wom… 0-1
Dec 13 Saint-Éti… vs FC Fleury… 0-0
Dec 05 Saint-Éti… vs Lens Women 1-0
Nov 23 Saint-Éti… vs Paris Sai… 1-4
Nov 19 Saint-Éti… vs Strasbour… 2-0
Nov 01 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 4-2
Oct 17 Saint-Éti… vs Le Havre … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2025 Saint-Étienne Women 0 - 2 Lyon Women Feminine Divis…
Mar 22, 2025 Saint-Étienne Women 0 - 5 Lyon Women Feminine Divis…
Apr 14, 2024 Saint-Étienne Women 1 - 6 Lyon Women Feminine Divis…
Final Verdict

ELITE: Lyon Women to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 66 vs 24
Lyon Women Power 66
Saint-Étienne Women Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Lyon Women Position

+10

Position Gap

11

Saint-Étienne Women Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.