Copa EspĂrito Santo · Aug 03, 2025 20:00
Vitoria
PWR 60
Vitoria
PWR 60
1 - 3
FT
Porto VitĂłria
PWR 67
PWR 67
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Vitoria to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack59
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack65
Defense68
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G0.9
Vitoria Form
WDDWD
STABLE
Porto VitĂłria Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS45%
Under 2.545%
Vitoria Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Porto Vitór… Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Vitoriavs
0.70
Porto VitĂłriaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Vitoria-2
Gap#1
Porto Vitór…
WR 55% 42 pts
WR 68% 47 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 42 |
| Porto VitĂłria | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 20 | 47 |
Vitoria
14.0%
| Jul 26 | Vitoria v Real No… | 2-0 |
| Jul 26 | Vitoria v Mirassol | 1-1 |
| Jul 24 | Vitoria v Sport R… | 2-2 |
| Jul 20 | Vitoria v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Jul 19 | Vitoria v Real No… | 0-0 |
| Jul 17 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 0-0 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 1-1 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Jul 07 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 0-3 |
| Jun 21 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 2-1 |
Porto VitĂłria
12.0%
| Jul 29 | Porto V… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Jul 22 | Porto V… v Desport… | 1-0 |
| Jul 15 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 3-0 |
| Jul 08 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Jun 29 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Porto V… v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Jun 18 | Porto V… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Jun 04 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 2-3 |
| May 28 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-2 |
| May 20 | Porto V… v Capixab… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jun 21, 2025 | Porto VitĂłria | 2-1 | Vitoria |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Vitoria | 0-2 | Porto VitĂłria |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Porto VitĂłria | 0-1 | Vitoria |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Vitoria | 1-1 | Porto VitĂłria |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Porto VitĂłria | 0-1 | Vitoria |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-2 | Porto VitĂłria |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Porto VitĂłria | 2-0 | Vitoria |
| Jun 01, 2024 | Porto VitĂłria | 3-1 | Vitoria |
| Feb 05, 2024 | Porto VitĂłria | 0-0 | Vitoria |
Key Factors
Porto VitĂłria in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.