Copa Espírito Santo · Jul 29, 2025 23:00
Desportiva ES
PWR 59
Porto Vitória
PWR 67
PWR 67
2 - 1
FT
Desportiva ES
PWR 59
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Porto Vitória to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (25%)
1-0 (18%)
0-1 (17%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (6%)
0-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense68
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G0.9
Attack51
Defense75
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.7
Porto Vitória Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Desportiva ES Form
WWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS25%
Under 2.584%
Porto Vitór… Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Desportiva … Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Porto Vitóriavs
0.67
Desportiva ESDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Porto Vitór…+1
Gap#2
Desportiva …
WR 68% 47 pts
WR 50% 42 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto Vitória | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 20 | 47 |
| Desportiva ES | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 17 | 42 |
Porto Vitória
12.0%
| Jul 22 | Porto V… v Desport… | 1-0 |
| Jul 15 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 3-0 |
| Jul 08 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Jun 29 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Porto V… v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Jun 18 | Porto V… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Jun 04 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 2-3 |
| May 28 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-2 |
| May 20 | Porto V… v Capixab… | 2-1 |
| May 07 | Porto V… v Real No… | 1-1 |
Desportiva ES
10.0%
| Jul 22 | Desport… v Porto V… | 1-0 |
| Jul 13 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 2-0 |
| Jul 10 | Desport… v Santos | 1-3 |
| Jul 05 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 0-0 |
| Jun 29 | Desport… v Vilavel… | 0-1 |
| Jun 18 | Desport… v Porto V… | 2-1 |
| Jun 07 | Desport… v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 4-1 |
| May 16 | Desport… v Serra T… | 0-2 |
| May 13 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jul 22, 2025 | Desportiva ES | 1-0 | Porto Vitória |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Desportiva ES | 2-1 | Porto Vitória |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Porto Vitória | 0-3 | Desportiva ES |
| Aug 02, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 1-0 | Desportiva ES |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Desportiva ES | 0-2 | Porto Vitória |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 1-0 | Desportiva ES |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Desportiva ES | 2-0 | Porto Vitória |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Porto Vitória | 1-1 | Desportiva ES |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Desportiva ES | 2-2 | Porto Vitória |
Key Factors
Porto Vitória in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.