Bundesliga · Feb 14, 2026 14:30

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
4-1
predicted

FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (15%) 2-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 9 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (9 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Bayer Leverkus… Form DWWWW
STABLE
FC St. Pauli Form WLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS27%
Under 2.552%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
FC St. Pauli Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Bayer Leverkus…
vs
0.35
FC St. Pauli
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings88%
Market50%
League Standings
#5
Bayer Lever…
+12
Gap
#17
FC St. Pauli
WR 60% 36 pts WR 9% 17 pts
Bayer Leverkus… 18.0%
Feb 07 Bayer L… v Borussi… 1-1
Feb 03 Bayer L… v FC St. … 3-0
Jan 31 Bayer L… v Eintrac… 1-3
Jan 28 Bayer L… v Villarr… 1-0
Jan 24 Bayer L… v Werder … 1-0
Jan 20 Bayer L… v Olympia… 2-0
Jan 17 Bayer L… v 1899 Ho… 1-0
Jan 10 Bayer L… v VfB Stu… 1-4
Dec 20 Bayer L… v RB Leip… 1-3
Dec 13 Bayer L… v FC Koln 2-0
FC St. Pauli 8.0%
Feb 07 FC St. … v VfB Stu… 2-1
Feb 03 FC St. … v Bayer L… 3-0
Jan 31 FC St. … v FC Augs… 2-1
Jan 27 FC St. … v RB Leip… 1-1
Jan 23 FC St. … v Hamburg… 0-0
Jan 17 FC St. … v Borussi… 3-2
Jan 14 FC St. … v VfL Wol… 2-1
Dec 21 FC St. … v FSV Mai… 0-0
Dec 13 FC St. … v FC Heid… 2-1
Dec 06 FC St. … v FC Koln 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Feb 03, 2026 Bayer Leverku… 3-0 FC St. Pauli
Sep 27, 2025 FC St. Pauli 1-2 Bayer Leverku…
Apr 20, 2025 FC St. Pauli 1-1 Bayer Leverku…
Dec 07, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 2-1 FC St. Pauli
Dec 07, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 2-1 FC St. Pauli
Key Factors
Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.