Ligue 1 · Jan 26, 2024 15:45

ES Sétif
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

CS Constantine
PWR 35
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
ES Sétif Form LLWDW
DOWN
CS Constantine Form WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS19%
Under 2.559%
ES Sétif Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
CS Constant… Goals
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
ES Sétif
vs
0.24
CS Constantine
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
ES Sétif
-10
Gap
#2
CS Constant…
WR 38% 19 pts WR 13% 26 pts
ES Sétif 10.0%
Jan 19 ES Sétif v Paradou… 1-0
Jan 09 ES Sétif v CR Belo… 1-3
Dec 29 ES Sétif v MC Oran 1-0
Dec 02 ES Sétif v JS Saou… 0-0
Nov 10 ES Sétif v JS Kaby… 1-0
Oct 06 ES Sétif v MC Alger 5-3
Sep 23 ES Sétif v El Baya… 2-1
Sep 15 ES Sétif v Khenche… 1-0
Jul 15 ES Sétif v JS Saou… 1-1
Jul 10 ES Sétif v MC Alger 1-1
CS Constantine 18.0%
Dec 15 CS Cons… v JS Kaby… 2-0
Dec 01 CS Cons… v Khenche… 2-0
Nov 24 CS Cons… v Paradou… 0-0
Oct 06 CS Cons… v JS Saou… 3-0
Sep 22 CS Cons… v MC Alger 2-1
Sep 15 CS Cons… v El Baya… 1-0
Jul 10 CS Cons… v El Baya… 3-1
Jun 26 CS Cons… v Khenche… 7-0
May 17 CS Cons… v JS Saou… 2-0
May 12 CS Cons… v Khenche… 3-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Mar 31, 2023 CS Constantine 2-0 ES Sétif
Oct 02, 2022 ES Sétif 0-0 CS Constantine
Jun 01, 2022 CS Constantine 1-0 ES Sétif
Dec 24, 2021 ES Sétif 1-0 CS Constantine
Key Factors
CS Constantine in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.