AI Match Insights

League One Sep 14, 2024

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
14:00

Dumbarton

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Dumbarton Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.38 - 0.39
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (46%) 0-1 (18%) 1-0 (18%) 1-1 (7%) 0-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 96%
Alloa Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Alloa Ath… vs Partick 1-3
Aug 31 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 1-1
Aug 31 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 5-1
Aug 24 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 0-3
Aug 17 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-0
Aug 13 Alloa Ath… vs Fraserbur… 2-1
Aug 10 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 3-3
Aug 03 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 0-0
Aug 03 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 0-0
Jul 23 Alloa Ath… vs Spartans 1-0
Dumbarton Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Dumbarton vs Peterhead 1-0
Aug 13 Dumbarton vs St. Mirre… 4-0
Aug 10 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-3
Aug 03 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 1-1
Jul 13 Dumbarton vs East Kilb… 1-1
May 17 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-2
May 14 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-1
May 11 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 0-0
May 07 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 2-1
Apr 27 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 10, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 3 Alloa Athletic League One
Nov 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 4 - 5 Dumbarton FA Cup
May 13, 2023 Dumbarton 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
May 09, 2023 Alloa Athletic 6 - 0 Dumbarton League One
Apr 08, 2023 Alloa Athletic 3 - 1 Dumbarton League Two
Apr 02, 2022 Alloa Athletic 2 - 3 Dumbarton League One
Feb 19, 2022 Dumbarton 1 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Nov 20, 2021 Alloa Athletic 1 - 2 Dumbarton League One
Sep 25, 2021 Dumbarton 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Apr 27, 2021 Dumbarton 1 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alloa Athletic to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Dumbarton Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.