Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Jun 29, 2025 15:30

Juventud
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Progreso
PWR 35
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Juventud to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (21%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Juventud Form WDDWW
STABLE
Progreso Form LLWLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS29%
Under 2.579%
Juventud Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Progreso Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Juventud
vs
0.92
Progreso
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Juventud
-3
Gap
#6
Progreso
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Juventud 16.0%
May 18 Juventud v Progreso 1-2
Jan 31 Juventud v Cerro L… 1-1
Dec 12 Juventud v Uruguay… 1-1
Dec 08 Juventud v Uruguay… 2-0
Dec 04 Juventud v ColĂłn 0-3
Nov 29 Juventud v ColĂłn 0-1
Nov 16 Juventud v Cooper 0-3
Nov 10 Juventud v Tacuare… 1-2
Nov 04 Juventud v Plaza C… 0-1
Oct 23 Juventud v Albion … 0-2
Progreso 4.0%
May 23 Progreso v Club Na… 1-0
May 18 Progreso v Juventud 1-2
Apr 20 Progreso v Defenso… 1-2
Feb 16 Progreso v Club Na… 1-5
Nov 30 Progreso v Cerro L… 2-1
Nov 27 Progreso v Peñarol… 1-5
Nov 18 Progreso v Fenix 2-2
Nov 14 Progreso v Defenso… 3-0
Nov 10 Progreso v Rangers… 0-0
Nov 03 Progreso v Peñarol… 2-1
Head-to-Head (7)
May 18, 2025 Progreso 1-2 Juventud
Nov 18, 2023 Progreso 2-1 Juventud
Jul 07, 2023 Juventud 1-1 Progreso
Apr 29, 2023 Juventud 1-5 Progreso
Aug 06, 2022 Progreso 0-1 Juventud
May 16, 2022 Juventud 0-0 Progreso
Apr 16, 2022 Progreso 2-1 Juventud
Key Factors
Juventud in strong form (3W in last 5)
Progreso struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.