Predictions Match Details
Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · May 18, 2025 18:00

Progreso
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Juventud
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-3 (9%) 1-3 (8%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Progreso Form WLLLD
STABLE
Juventud Form DDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS57%
Under 2.533%
Progreso Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Juventud Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Progreso
vs
3.44
Juventud
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Progreso
+3
Gap
#9
Juventud
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Progreso 6.0%
Apr 20 Progreso v Defenso… 1-2
Feb 16 Progreso v Club Na… 1-5
Nov 30 Progreso v Cerro L… 2-1
Nov 27 Progreso v Peñarol… 1-5
Nov 18 Progreso v Fenix 2-2
Nov 14 Progreso v Defenso… 3-0
Nov 10 Progreso v Rangers… 0-0
Nov 03 Progreso v Peñarol… 2-1
Sep 29 Progreso v Club Na… 0-3
Jul 27 Progreso v Fenix 1-1
Juventud 12.0%
Jan 31 Juventud v Cerro L… 1-1
Dec 12 Juventud v Uruguay… 1-1
Dec 08 Juventud v Uruguay… 2-0
Dec 04 Juventud v ColĂłn 0-3
Nov 29 Juventud v ColĂłn 0-1
Nov 16 Juventud v Cooper 0-3
Nov 10 Juventud v Tacuare… 1-2
Nov 04 Juventud v Plaza C… 0-1
Oct 23 Juventud v Albion … 0-2
Oct 20 Juventud v Oriental 3-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Nov 18, 2023 Progreso 2-1 Juventud
Jul 07, 2023 Juventud 1-1 Progreso
Apr 29, 2023 Juventud 1-5 Progreso
Aug 06, 2022 Progreso 0-1 Juventud
May 16, 2022 Juventud 0-0 Progreso
Apr 16, 2022 Progreso 2-1 Juventud
Key Factors
Progreso struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.