Ligue 1 · Feb 07, 2026 20:05
Nantes
PWR 26
Lyon
PWR 42
Nantes
PWR 26
0 - 1
FT
Lyon
PWR 42
27% H
29% D
44% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lyon to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-3 (8%)
0-3 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
2-3 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 69%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKINGAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Nantes Form
LLLDW
DOWN
Lyon Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS63%
Under 2.531%
Nantes Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Lyon Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Nantesvs
3.53
LyonDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings30%
Market35%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Nantes-14
Gap#3
Lyon
WR 9% 14 pts
WR 46% 42 pts
Nantes
6.0%
| Jan 31 | Nantes v Lorient | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nantes v Nice | 1-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nantes v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Nantes v Nice | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Nantes v Marseil… | 0-2 |
| Dec 21 | Nantes v Concarn… | 3-5 |
| Dec 12 | Nantes v Angers | 4-1 |
| Dec 06 | Nantes v Lens | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Nantes v Lyon | 3-0 |
| Nov 23 | Nantes v Lorient | 1-1 |
Lyon
18.0%
| Feb 04 | Lyon v Laval | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lyon v Lille | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lyon v PAOK | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Lyon v Metz | 2-5 |
| Jan 22 | Lyon v BSC You… | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Lyon v Stade B… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Lyon v Lille | 1-2 |
| Jan 03 | Lyon v Monaco | 1-3 |
| Dec 14 | Lyon v LE Havr… | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | Lyon v GO Ahea… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Lyon | 3-0 | Nantes |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Nantes | 1-1 | Lyon |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Lyon | 2-0 | Nantes |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Lyon | 2-0 | Nantes |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Nantes | 1-3 | Lyon |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Nantes | 1-3 | Lyon |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Lyon | 1-0 | Nantes |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Lyon | 1-0 | Nantes |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Nantes | 1-0 | Lyon |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Lyon | 1-1 | Nantes |
Key Factors
Lyon in strong form (4W in last 5)
Nantes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.