AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Feb 06, 2026

Metz

Home
VS
19:45

Lille

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Metz Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Lille Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 30%
Market 35%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 53%
Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
xG: 1.58 - 2.03
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Metz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Lille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Metz Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Metz vs Angers 1-0
Jan 25 Metz vs Lyon 2-5
Jan 18 Metz vs Strasbourg 2-1
Jan 11 Metz vs Montpelliā€¦ 0-4
Jan 04 Metz vs Lorient 1-1
Dec 20 Metz vs Biesheim 0-3
Dec 13 Metz vs Paris Saiā€¦ 2-3
Dec 07 Metz vs Auxerre 3-1
Nov 28 Metz vs Rennes FC 0-1
Nov 23 Metz vs Stade Breā€¦ 3-2
Lille Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Lille vs Lyon 1-0
Jan 29 Lille vs SC Freibuā€¦ 0-0
Jan 25 Lille vs Strasbourg 1-4
Jan 22 Lille vs Celta de ā€¦ 2-1
Jan 16 Lille vs Paris Saiā€¦ 3-0
Jan 11 Lille vs Lyon 1-2
Jan 03 Lille vs Rennes FC 0-2
Dec 20 Lille vs St Maur Lā€¦ 0-1
Dec 14 Lille vs Auxerre 3-4
Dec 11 Lille vs BSC Youngā€¦ 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Metz struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Lille struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 Lille 6 - 1 Metz Ligue 1
Apr 28, 2024 Metz 1 - 2 Lille Ligue 1
Apr 28, 2024 Metz 1 - 2 Lille Pro League
Dec 03, 2023 Lille 2 - 0 Metz Ligue 1
Dec 03, 2023 Lille 2 - 0 Metz Pro League
Feb 18, 2022 Lille 0 - 0 Metz Ligue 1
Aug 08, 2021 Metz 3 - 3 Lille Ligue 1
Apr 09, 2021 Metz 0 - 2 Lille Ligue 1
Sep 13, 2020 Lille 1 - 0 Metz Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lille to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Metz Power 22
Lille Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Metz Position

-13

Position Gap

5

Lille Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.