AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Feb 01, 2026

Strasbourg

Home
VS
19:45

Paris Saint Germain

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Strasbourg Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Paris Saint Germain Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 1.51 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Strasbourg Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Strasbourg vs Lille 1-4
Jan 18 Strasbourg vs Metz 2-1
Jan 10 Strasbourg vs Avranches 0-6
Jan 03 Strasbourg vs Nice 1-1
Dec 21 Strasbourg vs Dunkerque 2-1
Dec 18 Strasbourg vs Breidablik 3-1
Dec 14 Strasbourg vs Lorient 0-0
Dec 11 Strasbourg vs Aberdeen 0-1
Dec 06 Strasbourg vs Toulouse 1-0
Nov 30 Strasbourg vs Stade Bre… 1-2
Paris Saint Germain Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Paris Sai… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Jan 23 Paris Sai… vs Auxerre 0-1
Jan 20 Paris Sai… vs Sporting … 2-1
Jan 16 Paris Sai… vs Lille 3-0
Jan 12 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC 0-1
Jan 04 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC 2-1
Dec 20 Paris Sai… vs Vendée Fo… 0-4
Dec 13 Paris Sai… vs Metz 2-3
Dec 10 Paris Sai… vs Athletic … 0-0
Dec 06 Paris Sai… vs Rennes FC 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Strasbourg in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 17, 2025 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 3 Strasbourg Ligue 1
May 03, 2025 Strasbourg 2 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Oct 19, 2024 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Feb 02, 2024 Strasbourg 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Oct 21, 2023 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 0 Strasbourg Ligue 1
May 27, 2023 Strasbourg 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Dec 28, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Apr 29, 2022 Strasbourg 3 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Aug 14, 2021 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Apr 10, 2021 Strasbourg 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Strasbourg Power 39
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Strasbourg Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Paris Saint Germain Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.