Predictions Match Details
Ligue 1 · Feb 01, 2026 16:15

Toulouse
PWR 39
0 - 0
FT

Auxerre
PWR 27
65% H 21% D 14% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Toulouse to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense66
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack21
Defense57
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.5
Toulouse Form WWDLW
STABLE
Auxerre Form LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS16%
Under 2.560%
Toulouse Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Auxerre Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Toulouse
vs
0.20
Auxerre
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings74%
Market58%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Toulouse
+9
Gap
#17
Auxerre
WR 36% 30 pts WR 0% 13 pts
Toulouse 14.0%
Jan 25 Toulouse v Stade B… 0-2
Jan 17 Toulouse v Nice 5-1
Jan 10 Toulouse v Angers 1-1
Jan 02 Toulouse v Lens 0-3
Dec 20 Toulouse v Lyon Du… 1-2
Dec 13 Toulouse v Paris FC 0-3
Dec 06 Toulouse v Strasbo… 1-0
Nov 29 Toulouse v Marseil… 2-2
Nov 23 Toulouse v Angers 0-1
Nov 09 Toulouse v Lorient 1-1
Auxerre 0.0%
Jan 23 Auxerre v Paris S… 0-1
Jan 17 Auxerre v Lens 1-0
Jan 04 Auxerre v Stade B… 2-0
Dec 21 Auxerre v Monaco 1-2
Dec 14 Auxerre v Lille 3-4
Dec 07 Auxerre v Metz 3-1
Nov 29 Auxerre v Paris FC 1-1
Nov 23 Auxerre v Lyon 0-0
Nov 09 Auxerre v Angers 2-0
Nov 01 Auxerre v Marseil… 0-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 21, 2025 Auxerre 1-0 Toulouse
Feb 09, 2025 Auxerre 2-2 Toulouse
Dec 01, 2024 Toulouse 2-0 Auxerre
Dec 01, 2024 Toulouse 2-0 Auxerre
May 27, 2023 Toulouse 1-1 Auxerre
Jan 11, 2023 Auxerre 0-5 Toulouse
Mar 19, 2022 Auxerre 1-2 Toulouse
Oct 16, 2021 Toulouse 6-0 Auxerre
Feb 02, 2021 Auxerre 3-1 Toulouse
Sep 26, 2020 Toulouse 3-1 Auxerre
Key Factors
Toulouse in strong form (3W in last 5)
Auxerre struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.