AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Feb 11, 2026

Charlton

Home
VS
19:45

Stoke City

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Charlton Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Stoke City Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 41%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.52 - 1.16
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Charlton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Stoke City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (22%) 0-0 (19%) 0-2 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Charlton Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Charlton vs Leicester 0-2
Jan 24 Charlton vs Millwall 4-0
Jan 20 Charlton vs Derby 1-2
Jan 17 Charlton vs Sheffield… 1-0
Jan 10 Charlton vs Chelsea 1-5
Jan 04 Charlton vs Blackburn 2-2
Jan 01 Charlton vs Coventry 1-1
Dec 29 Charlton vs Portsmout… 2-1
Dec 26 Charlton vs Norwich C… 1-0
Dec 20 Charlton vs Oxford Un… 1-0
Stoke City Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Stoke City vs Southampt… 0-2
Jan 24 Stoke City vs Birmingham 1-1
Jan 21 Stoke City vs Middlesbr… 1-2
Jan 17 Stoke City vs QPR 0-0
Jan 10 Stoke City vs Coventry 1-0
Jan 04 Stoke City vs Norwich C… 0-2
Jan 01 Stoke City vs Hull City 0-1
Dec 29 Stoke City vs Sheffield… 1-2
Dec 26 Stoke City vs Preston 0-0
Dec 20 Stoke City vs Watford 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Charlton struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 25, 2025 Stoke City 3 - 0 Charlton Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Charlton Power 32
Stoke City Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Charlton Position

-5

Position Gap

12

Stoke City Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.