AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Feb 07, 2026

FC Ingolstadt 04

Home
VS
13:00

Energie Cottbus

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Energie Cottbus Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.57 - 1.14
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.1
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Energie Cottbus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 FC Ingols… vs Hansa Ros… 0-3
Jan 24 FC Ingols… vs Stuttgart… 2-1
Jan 16 FC Ingols… vs Jahn Rege… 0-3
Dec 21 FC Ingols… vs Turbine P… 3-0
Dec 20 FC Ingols… vs Waldhof M… 2-2
Dec 14 FC Ingols… vs Bayern Mü… 1-5
Dec 13 FC Ingols… vs TSV 1860 … 1-2
Dec 07 FC Ingols… vs Mainz 1-3
Dec 07 FC Ingols… vs Erzgebirg… 2-2
Nov 29 FC Ingols… vs Hoffenhei… 3-2
Energie Cottbus Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Energie C… vs Hoffenhei… 3-1
Jan 24 Energie C… vs FC Schwei… 2-1
Jan 17 Energie C… vs FC Saarbr… 1-1
Dec 19 Energie C… vs Jahn Rege… 2-2
Dec 14 Energie C… vs SV Wehen 3-1
Dec 06 Energie C… vs MSV Duisb… 3-2
Nov 29 Energie C… vs FC Viktor… 3-2
Nov 23 Energie C… vs Rot-Weiß … 2-3
Nov 13 Energie C… vs Dynamo Dr… 3-0
Nov 08 Energie C… vs VfL Osnab… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Ingolstadt 04 in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Energie Cottbus 1 - 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 3. Liga
May 17, 2025 Energie Cottbus 1 - 4 FC Ingolstadt 04 3. Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Ingolstadt 04 Power 49
Energie Cottbus Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

FC Ingolstadt 04 Position

-9

Position Gap

1

Energie Cottbus Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.