AI Match Insights

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Acreano Feb 09, 2026

Vasco da Gama AC

Home
VS
23:00

Independência

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Vasco da Gama AC Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Independência Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.35 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vasco da Gama AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Independência Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Vasco da Gama AC Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Vasco da … vs Humaitá 0-0
Jan 31 Vasco da … vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Jan 26 Vasco da … vs ADESG 3-1
Jan 17 Vasco da … vs Rio Branc… 2-3
Independência Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Independê… vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Jan 28 Independê… vs Humaitá 0-3
Jan 24 Independê… vs São Franc… 0-1
Jan 15 Independê… vs Santa Cru… 2-2
Mar 29 Independê… vs Galvez 1-3
Mar 21 Independê… vs ADESG 0-0
Mar 11 Independê… vs Humaitá 0-0
Feb 15 Independê… vs ADESG 1-1
Feb 09 Independê… vs São Franc… 5-0
Feb 01 Independê… vs Rio Branc… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independência struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vasco da Gama AC Power 0
Independência Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Vasco da Gama AC Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Independência Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.