AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligi kuu Bara Feb 07, 2026

Mtibwa Sugar

Home
VS
16:00

Namungo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Mtibwa Sugar Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Namungo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.02 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mtibwa Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Namungo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (11%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Mtibwa Sugar Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Mtibwa Su… vs Tanzania … 2-1
Jan 25 Mtibwa Su… vs Pamba Jiji 1-0
Jan 21 Mtibwa Su… vs Mbeya Cit… 2-1
Jan 18 Mtibwa Su… vs Simba 1-1
Dec 03 Mtibwa Su… vs JKT Tanza… 0-0
Nov 29 Mtibwa Su… vs Kitayosce 2-1
Nov 25 Mtibwa Su… vs KMC 0-0
Oct 28 Mtibwa Su… vs Young Afr… 2-0
Oct 22 Mtibwa Su… vs Dodoma Ji… 0-0
Oct 19 Mtibwa Su… vs Coastal U… 0-0
Namungo Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Namungo vs Singida B… 1-1
Jan 31 Namungo vs KMC 1-0
Jan 23 Namungo vs Coastal U… 1-0
Nov 30 Namungo vs Mbeya Cit… 0-1
Nov 21 Namungo vs Dodoma Ji… 2-0
Nov 09 Namungo vs Azam 1-1
Oct 25 Namungo vs Mashujaa 1-0
Oct 19 Namungo vs JKT Tanza… 1-1
Oct 01 Namungo vs Simba 3-0
Sep 21 Namungo vs Tanzania … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mtibwa Sugar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Namungo in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 20, 2024 Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 0 Namungo Ligi kuu Bara
Dec 07, 2023 Namungo 1 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar Ligi kuu Bara
Dec 16, 2022 Mtibwa Sugar 1 - 1 Namungo Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 15, 2022 Namungo 2 - 2 Mtibwa Sugar Ligi kuu Bara
Jun 26, 2022 Mtibwa Sugar 2 - 4 Namungo Ligi kuu Bara
Feb 06, 2022 Namungo 3 - 1 Mtibwa Sugar Ligi kuu Bara
May 12, 2021 Namungo 1 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 19, 2020 Mtibwa Sugar 1 - 0 Namungo Ligi kuu Bara
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mtibwa Sugar to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mtibwa Sugar Power 0
Namungo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Mtibwa Sugar Position

+1

Position Gap

4

Namungo Position
Home Win Rate: 83%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.