AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Dec 03, 2024

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
19:45

Dumbarton

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Dumbarton Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 41%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 0.59 - 1.28
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (20%) 0-0 (15%) 0-2 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Alloa Athletic Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Alloa Ath… vs Fraserbur… 2-0
Nov 29 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 3-2
Nov 16 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 1-0
Nov 16 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 2-1
Nov 12 Alloa Ath… vs Dunfermli… 1-0
Nov 09 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 1-1
Nov 09 Alloa Ath… vs Spartans 0-3
Nov 09 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-1
Nov 02 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-0
Oct 27 Alloa Ath… vs Orange Co… 3-2
Dumbarton Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Oct 26 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 3-1
Oct 05 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 1-3
Sep 14 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Sep 07 Dumbarton vs Peterhead 1-0
Aug 13 Dumbarton vs St. Mirre… 4-0
Aug 10 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-3
Aug 03 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 1-1
Jul 13 Dumbarton vs East Kilb… 1-1
May 17 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 29, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 2 Alloa Athletic FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Dumbarton League One
Aug 10, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 3 Alloa Athletic League One
Nov 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 4 - 5 Dumbarton FA Cup
May 13, 2023 Dumbarton 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
May 09, 2023 Alloa Athletic 6 - 0 Dumbarton League One
Apr 08, 2023 Alloa Athletic 3 - 1 Dumbarton League Two
Apr 02, 2022 Alloa Athletic 2 - 3 Dumbarton League One
Feb 19, 2022 Dumbarton 1 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Nov 20, 2021 Alloa Athletic 1 - 2 Dumbarton League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alloa Athletic to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Dumbarton Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.