League One · Aug 10, 2024 14:00
Dumbarton
PWR 41
Alloa Athletic
PWR 35
Dumbarton
PWR 41
3 - 3
FT
Alloa Athletic
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense41
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.7
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Dumbarton Form
DDDWD
STABLE
Alloa Athletic Form
DDLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS51%
Under 2.538%
Dumbarton Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Alloa Athle… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Dumbartonvs
0.80
Alloa AthleticDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Dumbarton-8
Gap#1
Alloa Athle…
WR 31% 50 pts
WR 40% 235 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 66 | 50 |
| Alloa Athletic | 161 | 65 | 40 | 56 | 251 | 217 | 235 |
Dumbarton
12.0%
| Aug 03 | Dumbart… v Inverne… | 1-1 |
| Jul 13 | Dumbart… v East Ki… | 1-1 |
| May 17 | Dumbart… v Spartans | 2-2 |
| May 14 | Dumbart… v Spartans | 2-1 |
| May 11 | Dumbart… v Stirlin… | 0-0 |
| May 07 | Dumbart… v Stirlin… | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Dumbart… v Elgin C… | 2-2 |
| Apr 20 | Dumbart… v Stranra… | 0-0 |
| Apr 13 | Dumbart… v Clyde | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Dumbart… v Forfar … | 0-2 |
Alloa Athletic
10.0%
| Aug 03 | Alloa A… v Clyde | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | Alloa A… v Queen o… | 0-0 |
| Jul 23 | Alloa A… v Spartans | 1-0 |
| Jul 20 | Alloa A… v Rangers… | 1-1 |
| Jun 29 | Alloa A… v Clyde | 3-1 |
| May 11 | Alloa A… v Hamilto… | 3-2 |
| May 07 | Alloa A… v Hamilto… | 2-2 |
| May 04 | Alloa A… v Falkirk | 2-2 |
| May 04 | Alloa A… v Stirlin… | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Alloa A… v Falkirk | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 25, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 4-5 | Dumbarton |
| May 13, 2023 | Dumbarton | 0-0 | Alloa Athletic |
| May 09, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 6-0 | Dumbarton |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 3-1 | Dumbarton |
| Apr 02, 2022 | Alloa Athletic | 2-3 | Dumbarton |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Dumbarton | 1-2 | Alloa Athletic |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Alloa Athletic | 1-2 | Dumbarton |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Dumbarton | 1-1 | Alloa Athletic |
| Apr 27, 2021 | Dumbarton | 1-0 | Alloa Athletic |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.