FA Cup · May 10, 2025 11:00
Muangthong United
PWR 36
Ratchaburi
PWR 28
Muangthong United
PWR 36
3 - 2
FT
Ratchaburi
PWR 28
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Ratchaburi to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense39
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.8
Attack39
Defense30
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.0
Muangthong Uni… Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Ratchaburi Form
WWWLW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS63%
Under 2.534%
Muangthong … Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Ratchaburi Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Muangthong Uni…vs
1.18
RatchaburiDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Muangthong …-7
Gap#10
Ratchaburi
WR 25% 3 pts
WR 13% 5 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muangthong Unit… | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Ratchaburi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 5 |
Muangthong Uni…
8.0%
| Apr 27 | Muangth… v Nakhon … | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Muangth… v Bangkok… | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Muangth… v Buriram… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Muangth… v Chiangr… | 2-1 |
| Jan 19 | Muangth… v Ratchab… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Muangth… v Rayong … | 4-0 |
| Dec 22 | Muangth… v Buriram… | 1-0 |
| Dec 15 | Muangth… v Chiangr… | 3-1 |
| Oct 19 | Muangth… v Bangkok… | 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | Muangth… v Ratchab… | 2-0 |
Ratchaburi
16.0%
| Apr 30 | Ratchab… v Nakhon … | 1-6 |
| Apr 15 | Ratchab… v Chiangr… | 1-2 |
| Mar 28 | Ratchab… v Prachuap | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Ratchab… v Sukhoth… | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Ratchab… v Chiangr… | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Ratchab… v Rayong … | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Ratchab… v Rayong … | 1-4 |
| Feb 08 | Ratchab… v Nakhon … | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Ratchab… v Lamphun… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ratchab… v Port FC | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jan 19, 2025 | Ratchaburi | 1-0 | Muangthong Un… |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Muangthong Un… | 2-0 | Ratchaburi |
| May 11, 2024 | Ratchaburi | 1-2 | Muangthong Un… |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Muangthong Un… | 1-1 | Ratchaburi |
| May 12, 2023 | Muangthong Un… | 4-0 | Ratchaburi |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Ratchaburi | 1-0 | Muangthong Un… |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Ratchaburi | 0-1 | Muangthong Un… |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Muangthong Un… | 2-1 | Ratchaburi |
Key Factors
Ratchaburi in strong form (4W in last 5)
Muangthong United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.